Essay — Weather Forecasting

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Image source: Ken Thomas, Public domain via Wikimedia Commons

Image source: Ken Thomas, Public domain
via Wikimedia Commons

I’m almost convinced meteorologists should leave weather forecasting to the bluebirds. But before I go on, I ought to explain that statement.

In Carpenter Country, we have two birdhouses, and for years, the bluebirds have followed the same routine. In spring, for warmth, they raise chicks in the box that sits in full sun. In the summer, to keep the nestlings cooler, they use the quarters that occupy a shady spot close to a huge Sycamore.

Last month, Mr. and Mrs. Blue reversed the procedure and built a summer nest at their spring address.

Now, as far as I know, bluebirds don’t move to a house because the kitchen is equipped with great appliances or the bathroom has a hot tub. I think they’re more into the realtor’s creed of location, location, location–and in this case, they were deciding which location would present the best weather conditions for their chicks.

That brings up a question. Are bluebirds better at long range forecasting than meteorologists?

I’ve been keeping track and here are the results. The birds win the gold for knowing July would come in with more cloudy and rainy days than usual. The weather people get a lump of coal for predicting an occasional shower and lots of sunshine.

Hmmm–perhaps our local weather station should have their people watching the birds instead of computers, radar, and windsocks.

Better yet, the station might want to put the bluebirds on the air.

Given the accuracy of their recent forecasts, I’m sure Mr. and Mrs. Blue would be correct at least ninety-five percent of the time.

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We write. Visit us in Carpenter Country, a magical place that, like our stories, is unreal but not untrue.

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